1 00:00:08,950 --> 00:00:06,710 and of course it's not just what we say 2 00:00:12,230 --> 00:00:08,960 to kids it's what we show them 3 00:00:15,509 --> 00:00:12,240 the images sent back by nasa's hubble 4 00:00:18,150 --> 00:00:15,519 plays such a huge part in capturing kids 5 00:00:21,029 --> 00:00:18,160 attention in an ever increasingly 6 00:00:22,070 --> 00:00:21,039 crowded world with many many demands on 7 00:00:24,950 --> 00:00:22,080 them 8 00:00:27,109 --> 00:00:24,960 this means we can show kids something of 9 00:00:27,990 --> 00:00:27,119 the cosmic environment that surrounds 10 00:00:33,510 --> 00:00:28,000 them 11 00:00:36,790 --> 00:00:33,520 think about what would it be like to see 12 00:00:39,030 --> 00:00:36,800 a sunset on mars 13 00:00:40,869 --> 00:00:39,040 now manned space flight is a topic which 14 00:00:43,350 --> 00:00:40,879 kids never tire of 15 00:00:45,110 --> 00:00:43,360 and because of nasa they can read about 16 00:00:47,670 --> 00:00:45,120 it they can hear about it watch 17 00:00:50,069 --> 00:00:47,680 documentaries look at photographs and 18 00:00:52,790 --> 00:00:50,079 visit space centers 19 00:00:56,229 --> 00:00:52,800 nasa runs a huge number of educational 20 00:00:59,110 --> 00:00:56,239 programs both in and outside schools 21 00:01:02,389 --> 00:00:59,120 this means that kids space dreams aren't 22 00:01:05,030 --> 00:01:02,399 limited to science fiction 23 00:01:07,270 --> 00:01:05,040 and with exciting new missions planned 24 00:01:09,350 --> 00:01:07,280 back to the moon and onwards to mars it 25 00:01:11,750 --> 00:01:09,360 means that there may be kids now who 26 00:01:14,149 --> 00:01:11,760 will grow up wanting to be astronauts as 27 00:01:17,190 --> 00:01:14,159 excited about it as a whole generation 28 00:01:19,670 --> 00:01:17,200 of astronauts today are the ones 29 00:01:21,429 --> 00:01:19,680 who watched the apollo moon landings in 30 00:01:23,350 --> 00:01:21,439 their pajamas with their parents and 31 00:01:25,429 --> 00:01:23,360 decided they were going to grow up to be 32 00:01:27,749 --> 00:01:25,439 an astronaut and that's certainly an 33 00:01:30,950 --> 00:01:27,759 awful lot more aspirational than wanting 34 00:01:33,910 --> 00:01:30,960 to grow up to appear on reality tv show 35 00:01:35,670 --> 00:01:33,920 or become a pop star 36 00:01:37,270 --> 00:01:35,680 because of nasa 37 00:01:39,590 --> 00:01:37,280 we can also show 38 00:01:42,149 --> 00:01:39,600 kids what our planet what the earth 39 00:01:43,429 --> 00:01:42,159 looks like from space 40 00:01:46,069 --> 00:01:43,439 they can see 41 00:01:48,870 --> 00:01:46,079 what a beautiful planet we live on but 42 00:01:51,590 --> 00:01:48,880 how vulnerable it is how fragile it is 43 00:01:54,469 --> 00:01:51,600 and we can really make it clear to them 44 00:01:56,550 --> 00:01:54,479 that they need to look after it when we 45 00:01:58,149 --> 00:01:56,560 look around us in space we see all sorts 46 00:02:01,270 --> 00:01:58,159 of other fascinating extraordinary 47 00:02:04,230 --> 00:02:01,280 exciting worlds but we don't see another 48 00:02:06,389 --> 00:02:04,240 planet nearby exactly like the earth and 49 00:02:08,150 --> 00:02:06,399 that's a very strong message to kids to 50 00:02:09,910 --> 00:02:08,160 say you live on a beautiful planet 51 00:02:11,350 --> 00:02:09,920 please look after it 52 00:02:13,430 --> 00:02:11,360 so we're not saying that all children 53 00:02:16,150 --> 00:02:13,440 need to grow up and go into space 54 00:02:19,190 --> 00:02:16,160 but we are saying that the work done by 55 00:02:21,270 --> 00:02:19,200 nasa has a profound and lasting impact 56 00:02:24,229 --> 00:02:21,280 on the way that children view their life 57 00:02:26,229 --> 00:02:24,239 on earth their cosmic environment it can 58 00:02:28,309 --> 00:02:26,239 influence the choices they make in the 59 00:02:30,070 --> 00:02:28,319 future and their careers 60 00:02:33,270 --> 00:02:30,080 i'd like to close with a fan letter we 61 00:02:35,270 --> 00:02:33,280 had from ben age six 62 00:02:37,990 --> 00:02:35,280 his mother had told us he wasn't a 63 00:02:40,790 --> 00:02:38,000 confident child but that he loved 64 00:02:42,470 --> 00:02:40,800 reading about space so much that it has 65 00:02:44,949 --> 00:02:42,480 changed his life 66 00:02:48,070 --> 00:02:44,959 he wrote to us to say 67 00:02:50,309 --> 00:02:48,080 now that i know i'm good at space 68 00:02:51,509 --> 00:02:50,319 i've decided to become a scientist when 69 00:03:11,190 --> 00:02:51,519 i grow up 70 00:03:17,910 --> 00:03:15,030 what will we find when we go into space 71 00:03:21,190 --> 00:03:17,920 is there alien life out there or are we 72 00:03:24,070 --> 00:03:21,200 alone in the universe 73 00:03:27,030 --> 00:03:24,080 we believe that life arose spontaneously 74 00:03:29,910 --> 00:03:27,040 on the earth so it must be possible for 75 00:03:32,309 --> 00:03:29,920 life to appear on other suitable planets 76 00:03:33,830 --> 00:03:32,319 of which there seem to be a large number 77 00:03:35,990 --> 00:03:33,840 in the galaxy 78 00:03:37,830 --> 00:03:36,000 but we don't know how life first 79 00:03:39,910 --> 00:03:37,840 appeared 80 00:03:43,190 --> 00:03:39,920 the probability of something as 81 00:03:45,670 --> 00:03:43,200 complicated as a dna molecule being 82 00:03:50,390 --> 00:03:45,680 formed by random collisions of atoms in 83 00:03:52,390 --> 00:03:50,400 a primeval ocean it's incredibly small 84 00:03:54,390 --> 00:03:52,400 however there might have been some 85 00:03:57,670 --> 00:03:54,400 simpler macromolecule 86 00:04:00,390 --> 00:03:57,680 which then built up to dna or some other 87 00:04:01,670 --> 00:04:00,400 macromolecule capable of reproducing 88 00:04:02,789 --> 00:04:01,680 itself 89 00:04:04,949 --> 00:04:02,799 still 90 00:04:07,350 --> 00:04:04,959 even if the probability of life 91 00:04:10,630 --> 00:04:07,360 appearing on a suitable planet is very 92 00:04:13,110 --> 00:04:10,640 small since the universe is infinite 93 00:04:15,830 --> 00:04:13,120 life would have appeared somewhere 94 00:04:17,909 --> 00:04:15,840 if the probability is very low the 95 00:04:21,270 --> 00:04:17,919 distance between two independent 96 00:04:24,310 --> 00:04:21,280 occurrences of life would be very large 97 00:04:27,110 --> 00:04:24,320 however there is a possibility known as 98 00:04:30,150 --> 00:04:27,120 panspermia that life could spread from 99 00:04:33,430 --> 00:04:30,160 planet to planet or from stellar system 100 00:04:35,430 --> 00:04:33,440 to stellar system carried on meteors 101 00:04:38,310 --> 00:04:35,440 we know that earth has been hit by 102 00:04:41,749 --> 00:04:38,320 meteors that came from mars and others 103 00:04:44,150 --> 00:04:41,759 may have come from further afield 104 00:04:46,310 --> 00:04:44,160 we have no evidence that any meteors 105 00:04:48,390 --> 00:04:46,320 carried life but it remains a 106 00:04:51,030 --> 00:04:48,400 possibility 107 00:04:53,270 --> 00:04:51,040 an important feature of life spread by 108 00:04:56,469 --> 00:04:53,280 panspermia is that it would have the 109 00:04:58,230 --> 00:04:56,479 same basis which would be dna 110 00:04:59,670 --> 00:04:58,240 for life in the neighborhood of the 111 00:05:02,150 --> 00:04:59,680 earth 112 00:05:04,469 --> 00:05:02,160 on the other hand an independent 113 00:05:07,990 --> 00:05:04,479 occurrence of life would be extremely 114 00:05:11,270 --> 00:05:08,000 unlikely to be dna-based 115 00:05:13,430 --> 00:05:11,280 so watch out if you meet an alien 116 00:05:16,469 --> 00:05:13,440 you could be infected with a disease 117 00:05:19,110 --> 00:05:16,479 against which you have no resistance 118 00:05:21,909 --> 00:05:19,120 one piece of observational evidence on 119 00:05:25,510 --> 00:05:21,919 the probability of life appearing is 120 00:05:28,070 --> 00:05:25,520 that we have fossils of algae from 3.5 121 00:05:31,430 --> 00:05:28,080 billion years ago 122 00:05:34,469 --> 00:05:31,440 the earth was formed 4.6 billion years 123 00:05:37,670 --> 00:05:34,479 ago and was probably too hot for about 124 00:05:40,469 --> 00:05:37,680 the first half billion years 125 00:05:43,430 --> 00:05:40,479 so life appeared on earth within half a 126 00:05:46,150 --> 00:05:43,440 billion years of it being possible which 127 00:05:49,270 --> 00:05:46,160 is short compared to the 10 billion year 128 00:05:52,070 --> 00:05:49,280 lifetime of an earth-like planet 129 00:05:54,629 --> 00:05:52,080 this would suggest either panspermia or 130 00:05:58,550 --> 00:05:54,639 that the probability of life appearing 131 00:06:01,029 --> 00:05:58,560 independently is reasonably high 132 00:06:03,350 --> 00:06:01,039 if it was very low one would have 133 00:06:04,830 --> 00:06:03,360 expected it to take most of the 10 134 00:06:08,309 --> 00:06:04,840 billion years 135 00:06:11,270 --> 00:06:08,319 available if it is panspermia any life 136 00:06:16,629 --> 00:06:11,280 in the solar system or in nearby stellar 137 00:06:22,230 --> 00:06:19,189 while there may be primitive life in our 138 00:06:25,270 --> 00:06:22,240 region of the galaxy there don't seem to 139 00:06:27,590 --> 00:06:25,280 be any advanced intelligent beings 140 00:06:29,430 --> 00:06:27,600 we don't appear to have been visited by 141 00:06:33,749 --> 00:06:29,440 aliens 142 00:06:35,909 --> 00:06:33,759 i am discounting reports of ufos 143 00:06:39,830 --> 00:06:35,919 would they appear only to cranks and 144 00:06:45,270 --> 00:06:42,469 if there is a government conspiracy to 145 00:06:47,670 --> 00:06:45,280 suppress the reports and keep for itself 146 00:06:48,469 --> 00:06:47,680 the scientific knowledge the aliens 147 00:06:50,629 --> 00:06:48,479 bring 148 00:06:54,070 --> 00:06:50,639 it seems to have been a singularly 149 00:06:56,870 --> 00:06:54,080 ineffective policy so far 150 00:07:00,309 --> 00:06:56,880 furthermore despite an extensive search 151 00:07:03,830 --> 00:07:00,319 by the seti project we haven't heard any 152 00:07:06,070 --> 00:07:03,840 alien television quiz shows 153 00:07:09,270 --> 00:07:06,080 this probably indicates that there are 154 00:07:12,150 --> 00:07:09,280 no alien civilizations at our stage of 155 00:07:17,110 --> 00:07:12,160 development within a radius of a few 156 00:07:22,870 --> 00:07:19,670 issuing an insurance policy against 157 00:07:25,110 --> 00:07:22,880 abduction by aliens seems a pretty safe 158 00:07:27,510 --> 00:07:25,120 bet 159 00:07:29,110 --> 00:07:27,520 why haven't we heard from anyone out 160 00:07:31,510 --> 00:07:29,120 there 161 00:07:34,070 --> 00:07:31,520 one who is expressed in this calvin 162 00:07:37,589 --> 00:07:34,080 cartoon 163 00:07:40,070 --> 00:07:37,599 the caption reads sometimes i think that 164 00:07:42,790 --> 00:07:40,080 the surest sign that intelligent life 165 00:07:46,390 --> 00:07:42,800 exists elsewhere in the universe is that 166 00:07:49,029 --> 00:07:46,400 none of it has tried to contact us 167 00:07:52,309 --> 00:07:49,039 more seriously there could be three 168 00:07:54,230 --> 00:07:52,319 possible explanations of why we haven't 169 00:07:55,350 --> 00:07:54,240 heard from aliens 170 00:07:57,510 --> 00:07:55,360 first 171 00:07:59,909 --> 00:07:57,520 it may be that the probability of 172 00:08:02,710 --> 00:07:59,919 primitive life appearing on a suitable 173 00:08:05,830 --> 00:08:02,720 planet is very low 174 00:08:09,189 --> 00:08:05,840 second the probability of primitive life 175 00:08:11,589 --> 00:08:09,199 appearing may be reasonably high but the 176 00:08:15,589 --> 00:08:11,599 probability of that life developing 177 00:08:17,670 --> 00:08:15,599 intelligence like ours may be very low 178 00:08:20,550 --> 00:08:17,680 just because evolution led to 179 00:08:22,469 --> 00:08:20,560 intelligence in our case we shouldn't 180 00:08:24,629 --> 00:08:22,479 assume that intelligence is an 181 00:08:26,550 --> 00:08:24,639 inevitable consequence of darwinian 182 00:08:29,189 --> 00:08:26,560 natural selection 183 00:08:33,589 --> 00:08:29,199 it is not clear that intelligence 184 00:08:36,389 --> 00:08:33,599 confers a long-term survival advantage 185 00:08:38,870 --> 00:08:36,399 bacteria and insects will survive quite 186 00:08:41,430 --> 00:08:38,880 happily even if our so-called 187 00:08:43,509 --> 00:08:41,440 intelligence leads us to destroy 188 00:08:46,710 --> 00:08:43,519 ourselves 189 00:08:50,470 --> 00:08:46,720 this is the third possibility 190 00:08:53,430 --> 00:08:50,480 life appears and in some cases develops 191 00:08:55,750 --> 00:08:53,440 into intelligent beings 192 00:08:58,550 --> 00:08:55,760 but when it reaches the stage of sending 193 00:09:01,350 --> 00:08:58,560 radio signals it will also have the 194 00:09:06,870 --> 00:09:01,360 technology to make nuclear bombs and 195 00:09:12,389 --> 00:09:08,710 it would therefore be in danger of 196 00:09:14,630 --> 00:09:12,399 destroying itself before long 197 00:09:17,829 --> 00:09:14,640 let's hope this is not the reason we 198 00:09:20,389 --> 00:09:17,839 have not heard from anyone 199 00:09:23,190 --> 00:09:20,399 personally i favor the second 200 00:09:25,990 --> 00:09:23,200 possibility that primitive life is 201 00:09:28,550 --> 00:09:26,000 relatively common but that intelligent 202 00:09:30,710 --> 00:09:28,560 life is very rare 203 00:09:36,470 --> 00:09:30,720 some would say it has yet to occur on 204 00:09:40,710 --> 00:09:39,190 can we exist for a long time away from 205 00:09:43,509 --> 00:09:40,720 the earth 206 00:09:46,389 --> 00:09:43,519 our experience with the iss the 207 00:09:48,710 --> 00:09:46,399 international space station shows that 208 00:09:51,430 --> 00:09:48,720 it is possible for human beings to